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RESEARCH
(RePEc page / SSRN
Author Page)
Many of these papers
can be found either through the journal's webpage link, or through the
"[WP]" link when a working paper
version exists. Please feel free to contact me about any others.
RESEARCH PAPERS CURRENTLY UNDER REVIEW FOR
PUBLICATION
[WP]
Pfau, W. D., “An International Perspective on Safe Withdrawal
Rates from Retirement Savings: The Demise of the 4 Percent Rule?"
[WP] Okita,
Y., W. D. Pfau, and L. T. Giang, "A Stochastic Forecast Model
for Japan’s Population." GRIPS Discussion Paper 09-06. Tokyo:
GRIPS. [revise and resubmit]
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., and Giang Thanh Long. "Remittances, Living Arrangements,
and the Welfare of the Elderly." Vietnam Development Forum Working
Paper
0901. Hanoi: VDF.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., and Giang Thanh Long. "Groups Excluded from
‘Representative’
Household Surveys: An Analysis Based on Remittances Sent and Received
in
Vietnam." GRIPS Discussion Paper 08-15. Tokyo: GRIPS.
PAPERS PUBLISHED OR FORTHCOMING IN
REFEREED INTERNATIONAL JOURNALS
[WP] Kumara, A. S., and W. D. Pfau, "Impact of
Cash Transfer
Programs on School Attendance and Child Poverty: An Ex-ante Simulation
for Sri Lanka." Journal of
Development Studies. forthcoming.
[WP] Pfau, Wade D., "The Portfolio Size Effect and
Lifecycle Asset Allocation Funds: A Different Perspective." Journal of Portfolio
Management. Vol. 37, No. 2 (Winter 2011), forthcoming.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., "Emerging Market Pension Funds and International
Diversification," Journal
of Developing Areas.
Vol. 45, No. 1 (Fall 2011), forthcoming.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., "Lifecycle Funds and Wealth Accumulation for Retirement:
Evidence for a More Conservative Asset Allocation as Retirement
Approaches," Financial
Services Review. Vol. 19, No. 1, forthcoming.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., "An Optimizing Framework for the Glide Paths of Lifecyle Asset
Allocation Funds," Applied
Economic Letters.
forthcoming.
Pfau, Wade D., "What Will the Likely Range of My
Wealth Be?: A Comment," Financial
Analysts Journal. Vol. 66, No. 3 (May/June 2010), p. 10, 12.
[WP] Giang, L.
T., and W. D. Pfau. "The Vulnerability of the Elderly
to Poverty: Determinants and Policy Implications for Vietnam," Asian
Economic Journal. Vol. 23, No. 4 (December 2009), p. 419-437.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D. "The Role of International Diversification in Public Pension
Systems: The Case of Pakistan," Economic
Issues. Vol. 14, Part 2 (September 2009), p. 81-105.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., and Giang Thanh Long. "Determinants and Impacts of
International
Remittances on Household Welfare in Vietnam," International
Social Science Journal. Vol. 60, No. 197-98 (September 2009),
p. 431-443.
[WP] Giang,
Thanh Long, and Wade D. Pfau. "Demographic Changes and
Pension Scheme Finances in Vietnam: A Long-Term Stochastic Actuarial
Assessment." Journal
of Population Ageing. Vol. 1, No. 2-4 (July 2009), p. 125-151.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D. "How Representative are Representative Workers? An Assessment
of the Hypothetical Workers Commonly Used in Social Security
Studies." Journal
of Income Distribution. Vol 18, No. 2 (June 2009), p, 92-117.
[WP]
Le, Viet Hung, and Wade D. Pfau. "VAR Analysis of the Monetary
Transmission
Mechanism in Vietnam." Applied
Econometrics and International Development. Vol. 9, No. 1
(January
– June 2009), p. 165-179.
[WP] Moghal,
Sajjad, and Wade D. Pfau. "An Investigation of Firm Heterogeneity
in the Constraints to Development and Growth in Pakistan," Pakistan
Development Review. Vol. 48, No. 1 (Spring 2009), p. 1-22.
[WP] Giang, Thanh Long, and Wade D. Pfau.
"Aging, Poverty, and the
Role of Social Pensions in Vietnam," Development
and Change. Vol. 40, No. 2 (March 2009), p. 333-360.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., and Vararat Atisophon. "The Impact of the National Pension
Fund on the Suitability of Elderly Pensions in Thailand," Asian
Economic Journal. Vol. 23, No. 1 (March 2009), p. 41-63.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D., and Giang Thanh Long. "Gender and Remittance Flows in
Vietnam During Economic Transformation," Asia-Pacific
Population Journal . Vol. 23, No. 2 (August 2008), p. 13-32.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D. "Predicting the Medal Wins by Country at the 2006 Winter
Olympic Games: An Econometrics Approach," The
Korean Economic Review. Vol. 22, No. 2 (Winter 2006), p.
233-247.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D. "Comparing the Impacts of Social Security Benefit Reductions
on the Income Distribution of the Elderly," National
Tax Journal. Vol. LIX, No. 2 (June 2006), p. 195-210.
OTHER RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS
Giang,
L. T., and W. D. Pfau. “A Gender Perspective on Elderly Work in
Vietnam,” in Theresa Devasahayam (ed.) Gender and Ageing in
Southeast Asia: Contexts, Concerns, and Contradictions. Singapore:
Institute of Southeast Asian Studies. forthcoming.
Pfau,
Wade D., and Giang Thanh Long. "The Growing Role of International
Remittances in the Vietnamese Economy: Evidence from the Vietnam
(Household)
Living Standard Surveys," in Pookong Kee and Hidetaka Yoshimatsu (eds.)
Global
Movements
in the Asia Pacific. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing.
(2010), p. 225-248.
[WP]
Khasanbaev, Alisher, and Wade D. Pfau. "The Funded Pension Scheme
in Uzbekistan: An Analysis," Sophia
International Review. Vol. 31, No. 1 (2009), p. 75-92.
Giang, Thanh Long, and Wade D. Pfau. "An
Exploration of a Non-contributory
Pension Scheme in Vietnam," in Aris Ananta and Evi Nurvidya Arifin
(eds.) Older
Persons in Southeast Asia - An Emerging Asset. Singapore:
Institute
of Southeast Asia Studies. (2009), p. 140-164.
Giang, Thanh Long, and Wade D. Pfau. "Ban ve
tinh kha thi cua
he thong huu tri xa hoi pho cap o Vietnam" (On the Feasibility of a
Universal
Social Pension Scheme in Vietnam), Tap chi Kinh te va Phat trien
(Economics
and Development Review). No. 135 (2008), p. 51-57. [in Vietnamese]
Giang, Thanh Long, and Wade D. Pfau. "Vai
tro cua huu tri xa hoi
trong viec giam ngheo cho nguoi cao tuoi o Vietnam" (The Role of Social
Pensions in Reducing Poverty Incidence for the Elderly in Vietnam),
(with
Giang Thanh Long) Tap chi Nghien cuu Kinh te (Economic Studies).
No. 3(358) (March 2008), p. 57-67. [in Vietnamese]
Giang, Thanh Long, and Wade D. Pfau. "Patterns and
Determinants of Living
Arrangements of the Elderly in Vietnam," in Giang Thanh Long (ed.) Social
Issues Under Economic Transformation and Integration in Vietnam.
Hanoi: The Publishing House of Social Labour. Vol. 2 (2007), p.
147-176.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D. "Reforming Social Security: Issues and Challenges for
Personal Retirement Accounts," East and West Studies. Vol. 19,
No.
1 (Summer 2007), p. 215-242.
Giang, Thanh Long, and Wade D. Pfau. "The Elderly Population in Vietnam
during Economic Transformation: An Overview," in Giang Thanh Long and
Duong
Kim Hong (eds.) Social
Issues
Under Economic Transformation and Integration in Vietnam.
Hanoi:
Vietnam Development Forum. Vol. 1 (2007), p. 185-210.
[WP] Pfau,
Wade D. "The Effects of Social Security on Private Savings: A
Reappraisal of the Time Series Evidence," Sophia
International Review. Vol. 27, No. 1 (2005), p. 57-70.
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